The 66th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards - FINAL Predictions
It is Sunday night. The Emmy Awards are in a less than 24 hours from now, and there are a lot of good storylines going into it. On last Monday’s The DJBC Happy Hour, Host/Executive Producer Bryan Curtiss, with the help of Biff Billingsley and Raff Romanowski, predicted the main races for Monday’s Ceremony, which will be broadcast live from the Nokia Theatre in Los Angeles on Monday night. The ceremony will air on NBC, hosted by Seth Meyers.
COMEDY SERIES: “Orange Is the New Black” will win. As for defending four-time champ “Modern Family”, Archie Griffin is the one and only two-time Heisman Trophy winner, for example. “Frasier” will still continue to be the only show to win five Comedy or Drama Series (Primetime) Emmys. Veep has a shot (hell, it won the Bryan Award, because it is so cliquy and prestigious with Academy voters) to win, but I think Netflix will lock this prize up, no pun intended.
LEAD ACTOR: Ricky Gervais pulled off the big upset in this race seven years ago, and will probably do it this time around. However, William H. Macy plays a terminally ill drunkard on “Shameless”, and well, you know…(just ask Dennis Franz, Sharon Gless, Jordan Clarke, Kristoff St. John, Maura West, and James Woods). A Jim Parsons win (which would be # 4) will put him in Lead Actor Valhalla with Carroll O’Connor, Michael J. Fox, and Kelsey Grammer.
LEAD ACTRESS: Julia Louis-Dreyfus has this. Let’s move on.
SUPPORTING ACTOR: Andre Braugher is a heterosexual black man playing a homosexual black police captain, and plays it perfectly on “Brooklyn Nine-Nine”, which won its only other nomination (Stunt Coordination) at the Creative Arts Emmys last Saturday. SAG Champ Ty Burrell has an outside shot, as does last year’s upset winner Tony Hale (God forbid).
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Allison Janney will win because A) She’s a recovering alcoholic on “Mom” (again, Emmy voters love drunks), and B) Emmy voters love the “Mother from Hell” (Estelle Getty, Doris Roberts, Jean Smart, and Julie Bowen, for example) in this race. However, Kate Mulgrew (Ryan’s Hope, Star Trek: Voyager) finally got nominated after 39 years in television, beginning on the Daytime Emmy-winning juggernaut “Ryan’s Hope”, and Mulgrew could upset here, since Janney already won at the Creative Arts Emmys last Saturday for “Masters of Sex”, maybe Emmy voters want to spread the wealth.
DRAMA SERIES: “Breaking Bad” will win this, despite it being 11 months since the Series Finale. “True Detective” deserves a fair chance in this race.
LEAD ACTOR: Matthew McConaughey has the edge here, in a year where he already won the Academy Award for Best Actor for “Dallas Buyers Club”. If he wins, he’ll be the third actor to win both an Oscar and Emmy in the same calendar year. Bryan Cranston has sentimental odds to win as well.
LEAD ACTRESS: This is a toss-up. Robin Wright was considered the favorite, until the episode submissions were released, and not everyone was too thrilled about her submission (or how short her reel was). Two-time defending champion Claire Danes could three-peat in this race, or Kerry Washington could be the first African-American Dramatic Lead Actress winner in the history of the Emmys.
SUPPORTING ACTOR: This is by far the best race, and it’s a three-man race between two-time winner Aaron Paul, past winner Peter Dinklage, and past nominee Josh Charles. The latter was killed off of his show in his submission tape. Dinklage submitted an episode where he gives a stellar, denouncing soapboxy speech. However, Paul could be the first three-time winner in the history of this category.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Two words. Anna Gunn.
MINISERIES: For the first time in four years, the Miniseries category is making a comeback as Limited or Event Series are making a comeback. With that said, “Fargo” is going to win. However, the third “American Horror Story” installment made leaps and bounds by gaining writing and directing nominations for the first time. The other four nominees should consider their nominations in this category as wins.
MADE FOR TV MOVIE: If this was any other year, “Sherlock: His Last Vow” would have won, winning four technical Emmys last weekend. However, “The Normal Heart” has this, despite the fact that “Sherlock: His Last Vow” won more Emmys at the Creative Arts Emmys than the HBO film about AIDS activists. “The Normal Heart” was a lock to win once production began on the movie.
LEAD ACTOR: If Mark Ruffalo is a lock to win, it’s in the Made for TV Movie category (Ruffalo was also a producer of “The Normal Heart”, hence he’s a double nominee). Billy Bob Thornton could win here for his performance as dark, serial killer Lorne Malvo.
LEAD ACTRESS: Cicely Tyson is the favorite to win in this race once again, having won in a similar category 40 years ago for “The Autobiography of Miss Jane Pittman”. Tyson won the Tony for her portrayal of Carrie Watts in the all-black revival of “The Trip to Bountiful”. If she wins, the role of Carrie Watts will be the only fictional character to have been awarded an Emmy, a Tony, and an Oscar (the late Geraldine Page won Best Actress for the 1985 movie version of the Horton Foote play).
SUPPORTING ACTOR: “The Normal Heart” has four of the six nominees in this category, and the two nominees not from the HBO film also deserve some love as well. Matt Bomer, will defy Emmy’s bias against attractive men and win for a role where he lost 40 pounds to show the ravaging effects of AIDS on his character, a New York Times Journalist, who is the lover of Ruffalo’s character.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Julia Roberts will win here for her performance as the doctor treating many AIDS patients in “The Normal Heart”. However, an Allison Tolman win for her role as the quirky Deputy Molly Solverson in “Fargo” would not surprise any of us at all. What would surprise us, would be defending champ Ellen Burstyn winning for the Silver Garbage nominee “Flowers in the Attic”.
VARIETY, MUSIC, OR COMEDY SERIES: “The Tonight Show with Jimmy Fallon” is the best and freshest thing to hit late night since David Letterman’s jump to CBS. However, I think Emmy voters are on autopilot and will mistakenly award “The Colbert Report” once more.
REALITY/COMPETITION SERIES: “The Amazing Race” on nine times out of ten from 2003 to 2012, and last year “The Voice” won. Is this a changing of the guard? Well, it appears like it.
The Emmy Awards air tomorrow night at 8PM (ET) on NBC, hosted by Seth Meyers.